PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

M4rketm4ker

0x791f02e7be0c8ca85da4efa8a13e540a7f66e166

Realised P&L
$-156.21
Volume
$9.7k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$102.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)17.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · No0.3300.215$47.53$25.42
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · Yes0.6380.545$42.66$7.28
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? · Yes0.1900.165$12.27$1.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:30Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August?SELL0.02$1.79
08-04 18:40Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?SELL0.57$79.28
08-04 02:51Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.14$70.35
08-04 02:39Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?SELL0.2$4.00
08-04 01:48Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.794$70.40
08-03 11:10Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?SELL0.7450227708$70.02
08-03 06:17Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2698715166$49.49
08-02 05:13Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$27.12
08-01 22:53Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.43$43.24
08-01 22:26Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.752498008$45.33
07-31 16:51Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.72$27.36
07-31 15:55Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.329$58.23
07-31 13:12Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.52$45.67
07-31 10:57Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?SELL0.65$44.88
07-30 19:51Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.35$48.71