0x7908c71c195d74505905f070f99c88c705965037
0x7908c71c195d74505905f070f99c88c705965037
- Realised P&L
- $-0.77
- Volume
- $64.69
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $5.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.980 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.260 | 0.300 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.610 | 0.525 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.615 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.615 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.035 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.018 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$0.90at 0.530Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.65at 0.610Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.620Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17?
- +$0.59at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:31 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:29 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:57 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:56 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:08 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:06 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 18? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:43 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:28 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:26 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:28 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:23 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 00:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |