PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x79025848a1fa61acd27762ccad00c2d2e166bd67

Realised P&L
$21.23
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$18.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2940.366$7.48+$1.48
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.7060.805$5.70+$0.70
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.954$3.39+$0.33
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7900.845$1.07+$0.07
Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.0160.006$0.79$1.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 15:13Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$4.00
09-14 15:11Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-10 16:41Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-10 12:52Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.0529999993$1.05
09-10 12:51Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
07-30 10:16Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2939999692$6.00
07-22 15:44Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?BUY0.1859998516$1.00
07-17 09:13Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9449998526$5.00
07-15 14:20England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersBUY0.55$1.00
07-15 08:11Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3174999914$16.00
07-11 21:46Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2649998688$1.00
07-11 21:46Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2649998688$1.00
07-11 21:45Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.435$4.64
07-11 21:24Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1874999355$2.00
07-08 07:25Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.155$3.54