0x78fefec53677acac330f23e83ad92f0182f16d21
0x78fefec53677acac330f23e83ad92f0182f16d21
- Realised P&L
- $-4.30
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.032 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.037 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.145 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A · India A | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$0.16at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$-0.71at 0.305Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 19:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.067999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $1.37 |
| 10-06 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:18 | Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.08 |
| 10-06 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.61 |
| 10-06 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.43 |
| 10-06 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |