PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x78fefec53677acac330f23e83ad92f0182f16d21

0x78fefec53677acac330f23e83ad92f0182f16d21

Realised P&L
$-4.30
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$1.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6? · Yes0.0370.032$0.86−$0.14
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 6? · Yes0.0680.037$0.54−$0.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6? · Yes0.3100.145$0.47−$0.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A · India A0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 19:42Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 6?BUY0.067999997$1.00
10-06 19:38Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6?BUY0.0369999987$1.00
10-06 19:35Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-06 18:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.37$1.37
10-06 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-06 18:18Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia ABUY0.001$1.00
10-06 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSELL0.04$0.08
10-06 15:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-06 15:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSELL0.99$1.61
10-06 15:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-06 15:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-06 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-06 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSELL0.12$0.43
10-06 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00