dgvxdf
0x78fe05632e1a737c6d6fc291f544184ea520b202
- Realised P&L
- $-9.06
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.125 | $0.80 | −$1.30 |
| Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.105 | $0.67 | −$1.48 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.700 | 0.185 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$0.15at 0.870Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$0.06at 0.947Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.965Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-14 13:22 | Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9469999867 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 13:21 | Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.22 |
| 03-14 13:21 | Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.23 |
| 01-18 12:42 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.98 |
| 01-18 12:41 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.90 |
| 01-04 05:08 | Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 05:07 | Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 05:07 | Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 05:06 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 05:04 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 05:04 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 05:03 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 16:43 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.98 |
| 12-29 16:40 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999209 | $7.00 |
| 12-29 15:17 | Modi out in 2025? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.98 |