PolyBot

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Traders

0x78f9218fa127f46f6cb8fb7d6176b6e14cbc175d

0x78f9218fa127f46f6cb8fb7d6176b6e14cbc175d

Realised P&L
$5.03
Volume
$430.71
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$1.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.5000.375$0.75−$0.25
Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? · Yes0.2600.095$0.37−$0.63
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.4300.085$0.20−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 17:03Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-10 07:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-09 23:00Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-09 02:49S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.74$1.00
10-07 04:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2889999676$1.00
10-06 20:26Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-06 20:25Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-06 00:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-05 16:21Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-03 04:37Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-02 19:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-02 10:54Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-27 12:48Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-27 02:36Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-27 02:35Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00