ViataBateFilmul
0x78ed8966161ea0a22f0719b9c04391c6ac22ab3a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $649.4k
- Markets traded
- 905
- Open portfolio
- $104.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded905
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.158Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.368Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.205China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$1.1kat 0.395Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?
- +$970.92at 0.610Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $43.15 |
| 09-22 05:17 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.0660722791 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1578321751 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2188177423 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2583826014 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5683287958 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 06:50 | Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.26 |
| 09-21 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 09-21 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2332777093 | $6.99 |
| 09-21 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5826391649 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1291393354 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.45 |
| 09-21 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2998533441 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2924207467 | $100.00 |