Gusia
0x78ed60c74f94ddf48044ad08b8bf2fb3f403dbdc
- Realised P&L
- $-14.68
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $451.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.856 | 0.872 | $451.34 | +$8.03 |
| NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team? · Yes | 0.703 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.25 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.37 |
| Will the Boston Celtics keep Jaylen Brown? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.11at 0.811Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
- +$98.20at 0.660Bitcoin all time high by July 25?
- +$78.22at 0.759Will Jimmy Butler get traded?
- +$74.25at 0.870Will Evan Mobley win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
- +$53.00at 0.788Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:45 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.849 | $39.59 |
| 09-05 15:35 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8721128911 | $150.80 |
| 08-07 06:58 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.859 | $8.33 |
| 07-24 07:47 | Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.255 | $22.87 |
| 07-19 10:34 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.272 | $20.40 |
| 07-19 10:33 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.272 | $54.40 |
| 07-18 14:59 | Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year? | BUY | 0.82 | $36.08 |
| 07-18 14:59 | Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year? | BUY | 0.82 | $78.72 |
| 07-18 14:30 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 06-11 03:35 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.16 | $58.20 |
| 06-09 06:08 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 06-08 14:24 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 03-18 14:03 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.1363933162 | $2.65 |
| 12-24 03:33 | Thunder vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.11 | $6.41 |
| 12-23 14:12 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.66 | $38.45 |