PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gusia

0x78ed60c74f94ddf48044ad08b8bf2fb3f403dbdc

Realised P&L
$-14.68
Volume
$14.9k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$451.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? · Yes0.8560.872$451.34+$8.03
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team? · Yes0.7030.000$0.00$70.25
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$28.00
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00$12.37
Will the Boston Celtics keep Jaylen Brown? · No0.6800.000$0.00$10.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 01:45Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?BUY0.849$39.59
09-05 15:35Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?BUY0.8721128911$150.80
08-07 06:58Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?BUY0.859$8.33
07-24 07:47Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?SELL0.255$22.87
07-19 10:34Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.272$20.40
07-19 10:33Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.272$54.40
07-18 14:59Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?BUY0.82$36.08
07-18 14:59Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?BUY0.82$78.72
07-18 14:30Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.28$7.00
06-11 03:35Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?SELL0.16$58.20
06-09 06:08Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?SELL0.37$74.00
06-08 14:24Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.21$2.10
03-18 14:03Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?SELL0.1363933162$2.65
12-24 03:33Thunder vs. SpursSELL0.11$6.41
12-23 14:12Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.66$38.45