Maderahasbun
0x78e6b4ecd7a8048f5f42d90900f52a2a4094b4e1
- Realised P&L
- $-419.18
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $37.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $2.80 in November? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.006 | $37.22 | −$12.51 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.41 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.92 |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 in July? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.59 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.93 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.11 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.25 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:07 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in November? | BUY | 0.00868562 | $49.73 |
| 10-05 01:27 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.88 |
| 10-05 01:27 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? | BUY | 0.0069674954 | $41.08 |
| 10-01 10:25 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? | BUY | 0.0098929269 | $96.32 |
| 09-17 14:09 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.0102470994 | $28.05 |
| 09-11 13:18 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.0129955801 | $68.89 |
| 09-03 14:48 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.012 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 02:36 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.007 | $89.42 |
| 07-23 02:46 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in July? | BUY | 0.0031780676 | $14.59 |
| 07-17 23:26 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.65 |
| 07-06 19:23 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.0040705657 | $23.55 |
| 07-04 15:29 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.0053793063 | $28.20 |
| 07-02 13:17 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.007 | $36.74 |
| 06-10 03:00 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.06 |
| 06-06 18:48 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.005 | $22.87 |