nike112
0x78e52ef18ab2716086b6c01a8dd6f2641ffc83c7
- Realised P&L
- $-132.28
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $88.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.295 | $45.87 | −$55.21 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.265 | $42.66 | −$58.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.89at 0.685Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
- +$21.92at 0.720Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$15.43at 0.794Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
- +$12.90at 0.770Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
- +$-4.48at 0.879Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 09:34 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $101.08 |
| 04-23 13:29 | Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.28 | $27.82 |
| 04-21 11:25 | Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.57 | $56.64 |
| 04-19 18:52 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.77 | $43.18 |
| 04-19 18:51 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.253871155 | $43.74 |
| 04-14 16:19 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6804819577 | $117.25 |
| 04-13 12:16 | Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | BUY | 0.6853926181 | $80.36 |
| 04-13 12:10 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.99 | $80.36 |
| 04-12 19:55 | Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7940638721 | $59.50 |
| 04-12 19:53 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.8175133947 | $59.51 |
| 04-11 12:46 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7199999947 | $16.36 |
| 04-11 12:45 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.72 | $42.08 |
| 04-07 20:07 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.8789999998 | $63.99 |
| 04-07 19:40 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6266372872 | $100.87 |