sms-exec-1
0x78e134b50ebce53898ae552c075d83202f327337
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $963.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,020
- Open portfolio
- $119.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,020
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.151Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.9kat 0.100Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.2kat 0.104Will Austin FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$1.5kat 0.125Will AIK win on 2026-08-30?
- +$1.2kat 0.148Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:41 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 00:41 | Will AD Cali vs. Alianza FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 23:26 | Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 22:57 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 22:27 | Will CR Brasil win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 00:10 | Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.63 | $50.40 |
| 10-01 23:26 | Will Athletic Club vs. SC Recife end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 20:26 | Will Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 22:26 | Will América FC win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 22:26 | Will América FC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 18:26 | Will CD Leganés vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 01:06 | Will AD Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:01 | Will Fortaleza FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:56 | Will Alianza FC win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 16:26 | Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |