PolyBot

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Traders

0x78df073cd22d6ca3d97bf3877c82f209789e42c2

0x78df073cd22d6ca3d97bf3877c82f209789e42c2

Realised P&L
$-3.47
Volume
$233.59
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$5.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.7800.770$4.20−$0.05
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1940.182$0.94−$0.06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 12:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?BUY0.7799999927$4.25
09-11 21:28Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.193999969$1.00
09-11 21:27Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.19$1.04
09-11 21:00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1859999989$1.02
09-11 20:57Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.087$0.72
09-04 13:50Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
09-04 13:44Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.186$1.04
08-28 12:09Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1779998704$1.00
08-28 12:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.28$1.53
08-21 23:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3099999289$1.70
08-21 23:33Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.126$0.98
08-13 15:22Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.128999904$1.00
08-13 15:19Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.028$0.30
08-13 15:19Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.092$1.63
08-06 15:01Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.0919999183$1.00