carlton1006
0x78dde764ee5c5de630eec8140e70202aaf8f668d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $7.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.27at 0.537Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$83.81at 0.547Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$80.28at 0.557Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
- +$70.35at 0.225Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?
- +$65.42at 0.437Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 20:21 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:20 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 18:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4249999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 03:24 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0240826439 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 03:24 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0310000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.96 |
| 07-15 20:46 | Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 07-15 20:36 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3899999911 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 20:14 | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:13 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3024999811 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:12 | Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 20:12 | Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |