PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

carlton1006

0x78dde764ee5c5de630eec8140e70202aaf8f668d

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$22.3k
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$7.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2500.110$4.40−$5.60
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.1180.050$2.11−$2.89
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.1900.026$1.37−$8.63
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5260.000$0.00−$30.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$20.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.4900.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$10.00
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$30.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:00Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3699999957$50.00
07-19 20:21Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
07-19 20:20Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
07-19 18:56Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
07-19 18:56Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3599999921$20.00
07-19 18:55Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.4249999987$100.00
07-17 03:24Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0240826439$10.00
07-17 03:24Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0310000001$10.00
07-15 20:46Will England win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.15$4.96
07-15 20:46Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?SELL0.001$0.17
07-15 20:36England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.3899999911$25.00
07-15 20:14Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-15 20:13Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3024999811$10.00
07-15 20:12Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.32$20.00
07-15 20:12Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.2$10.00