0x78dc0b345fd24bc8f576f9f3ae3bbf18fec8a36f
0x78dc0b345fd24bc8f576f9f3ae3bbf18fec8a36f
- Realised P&L
- $1.00
- Volume
- $47.22
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $18.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 22? · Yes | 0.951 | 0.992 | $3.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22? · No | 0.960 | 0.995 | $3.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? · No | 0.960 | 0.992 | $3.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 23? · No | 0.950 | 0.950 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? · No | 0.956 | 0.953 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.12at 0.963Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 21?
- +$0.12at 0.963Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 21?
- +$0.12at 0.963Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 20, 2PM ET?
- +$0.12at 0.963Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 21?
- +$0.12at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.9559999975 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 16:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 08:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 05:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 04:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 04:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 20:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 19:45 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 19:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 18:15 | Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 20, 3PM ET? | BUY | 0.9589999882 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 17:45 | Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 20, 2PM ET? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 17:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 17:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 16:45 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9509999933 | $3.00 |