PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78dc0b345fd24bc8f576f9f3ae3bbf18fec8a36f

0x78dc0b345fd24bc8f576f9f3ae3bbf18fec8a36f

Realised P&L
$1.00
Volume
$47.22
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$18.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 22? · Yes0.9510.992$3.13+$0.13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22? · No0.9600.995$3.11+$0.11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? · No0.9600.992$3.10+$0.10
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 23? · No0.9500.950$3.00+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? · No0.9560.953$2.99−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23? · No0.9500.945$2.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 16:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?BUY0.9559999975$3.00
10-21 16:30Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23?BUY0.95$3.00
10-21 16:15Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 23?BUY0.95$3.00
10-21 08:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?BUY0.96$3.00
10-21 05:31Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21?BUY0.95$3.00
10-21 04:30Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 21?BUY0.95$3.00
10-21 04:15Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21?BUY0.96$3.00
10-20 20:00Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 21?BUY0.95$3.00
10-20 19:45Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 21?BUY0.95$3.00
10-20 19:16Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.9499999208$3.00
10-20 18:15Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 20, 3PM ET?BUY0.9589999882$3.00
10-20 17:45Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 20, 2PM ET?BUY0.95$3.00
10-20 17:31Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22?BUY0.96$3.00
10-20 17:16Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?BUY0.9499999208$3.00
10-20 16:45Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 22?BUY0.9509999933$3.00