DigitalCitizen
0x78d75a1e04150c1916aa73a77e590b4957dffc01
- Realised P&L
- $-91.18
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,988
- Open portfolio
- $55.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,988
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 1.000 | $10.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 18? · No | 0.970 | 0.996 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 19? · No | 0.950 | 0.965 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 19? · No | 0.960 | 0.965 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? · No | 0.810 | 0.775 | $9.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 18? · No | 0.960 | 0.997 | $5.19 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.00at 0.580Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
- +$13.58at 0.877Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$13.10at 0.794XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET
- +$10.98at 0.824Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET
- +$10.71at 0.934Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 09-16 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 09-16 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.02 |
| 09-16 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.01 |
| 09-16 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.01 |