PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JohnJJJ

0x78d2ad24aafa9344976a590eebc0fae5a49d7a2b

Realised P&L
$-9.6k
Volume
$746.3k
Markets traded
8,383
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,383
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $80k0.4291.000$218.78+$124.83
Nothing Ever Happens: March · Nothing0.1511.000$63.00+$53.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.3421.000$49.83+$32.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? · No0.4151.000$36.97+$21.61
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · No0.4201.000$30.07+$17.44
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.6681.000$29.52+$9.79
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · Yes0.3671.000$26.84+$17.00
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? · No0.3701.000$25.61+$16.13
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4310.280$25.46$13.75
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4821.000$24.55+$12.72
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5660.935$23.64+$9.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · No0.5371.000$21.91+$10.13
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.3100.855$20.27+$12.91
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · No0.2901.000$20.00+$14.20
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.4721.000$20.00+$10.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-09 21:19Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.54$32.40
03-09 21:18Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?SELL0.999$64.40
03-09 21:18Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.55$31.90
03-09 21:18Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?SELL0.38$38.00
03-08 17:52Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5BUY0.55$2.75
03-08 17:52BNP Paribas Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi OsakaBUY0.64$3.20
03-08 17:00Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)BUY0.51$2.55
03-08 16:15Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?BUY0.29$1.45
03-08 16:15Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?BUY0.29$1.45
03-08 16:15Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)BUY0.36$1.80
03-08 16:15BNP Paribas Open: Emma Raducanu vs Amanda AnisimovaBUY0.75$3.75
03-08 04:29UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.36$1.80
03-08 04:29Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.349$1.74
03-07 22:45Clippers vs. GrizzliesBUY0.28$1.40
03-07 22:45Clippers vs. GrizzliesBUY0.28$1.40