Strahinja83
0x78cf56eb7845773327366ef3ec823499f8c575e9
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.729 | $884.80 | +$384.80 |
| Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.140 | $380.32 | −$319.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.482Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$25.48at 0.125Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:42 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.1570649643 | $125.48 |
| 10-28 01:41 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.2253056563 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 18:56 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.2733868263 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 16:01 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.1251706654 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 22:01 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.411957861 | $500.00 |
| 10-26 10:38 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.9867664408 | $7.5k |
| 10-25 20:32 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7093494407 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 20:31 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.7236021026 | $600.00 |
| 10-25 19:15 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5390014435 | $1.1k |
| 10-25 10:26 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.7057204355 | $2.1k |
| 10-22 16:24 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3279595908 | $1000.00 |
| 10-22 13:07 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3379999941 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 22:05 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4516408743 | $2.0k |
| 09-24 16:49 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.4747962009 | $2.1k |
| 09-23 18:28 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4377190497 | $2.0k |