PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x78cde651f55b25634d4a69db4a342d2959a2c82c

Realised P&L
$-338.78
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$24.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.013$12.50$1.50
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.080$8.34$4.06
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.038$3.87$6.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 15:53Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.12$1.23
08-01 15:51Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.014$14.00
08-01 15:50Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.11$16.71
07-29 19:43Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1199999947$18.23
07-27 20:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.263$19.99
07-27 13:18Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia PohankovaBUY0.4099999806$9.73
07-25 11:00Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1007527088$10.51
07-21 14:53Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1189422206$24.81
07-19 22:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0630000006$7.00
07-19 08:30Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0739999631$2.00
07-19 08:28Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.1799999968$36.97
07-19 08:12Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5SELL0.043$5.49
07-19 04:15Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2521236426$35.52
07-19 04:15Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.253$35.64
07-19 04:13Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2903346741$81.81