PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78cde651f55b25634d4a69db4a342d2959a2c82c

Realised P&L
$-483.35
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$181.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.015$89.70$6.29
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3800.385$34.90+$0.43
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.155$25.36+$0.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.3270.180$20.85$17.04
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.090$9.39$3.02
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.013$1.36$8.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.2399999967$5.80
09-17 07:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?SELL0.047$5.60
09-17 07:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?SELL0.046$0.63
09-12 03:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?BUY0.0699999999$9.30
09-12 03:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.3499999973$32.09
09-11 16:01Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 3.5BUY0.6$37.02
09-11 08:54US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovBUY0.8$34.17
09-11 08:51Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsBUY0.5799999867$24.44
09-10 22:14Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsBUY0.5499999944$4.90
09-10 22:14Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.4899999995$19.72
09-10 22:14Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)BUY0.3899999981$10.48
09-10 22:13Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki MatsudaBUY0.6$12.48
09-10 22:1249ers vs. RamsBUY0.6499999951$20.00
09-10 16:57Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.4799999751$3.08
09-10 16:57Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.4799999943$13.49