0x78cde651f55b25634d4a69db4a342d2959a2c82c
- Realised P&L
- $-483.35
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $181.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.015 | $89.70 | −$6.29 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.385 | $34.90 | +$0.43 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.155 | $25.36 | +$0.82 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.180 | $20.85 | −$17.04 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.090 | $9.39 | −$3.02 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.013 | $1.36 | −$8.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.98at 0.199Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$51.82at 0.165Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$49.94at 0.281Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
- +$39.51at 0.204Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.32at 0.465England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $5.80 |
| 09-17 07:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | SELL | 0.047 | $5.60 |
| 09-17 07:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.63 |
| 09-12 03:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $9.30 |
| 09-12 03:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.3499999973 | $32.09 |
| 09-11 16:01 | Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $37.02 |
| 09-11 08:54 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov | BUY | 0.8 | $34.17 |
| 09-11 08:51 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999867 | $24.44 |
| 09-10 22:14 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | BUY | 0.5499999944 | $4.90 |
| 09-10 22:14 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $19.72 |
| 09-10 22:14 | Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3899999981 | $10.48 |
| 09-10 22:13 | Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda | BUY | 0.6 | $12.48 |
| 09-10 22:12 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 16:57 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4799999751 | $3.08 |
| 09-10 16:57 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4799999943 | $13.49 |