user4547
0x78c878068cda73a7eabf96fd00fda0dcedf072d3
- Realised P&L
- $-234.67
- Volume
- $25.1k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $5.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.95at 0.068Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$43.93at 0.128Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$30.35at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$29.25at 0.093Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$24.02at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 05:04 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4543209787 | $4.00 |
| 10-15 05:03 | Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $8.24 |
| 10-15 05:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.62 |
| 10-15 05:00 | Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6037113153 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 05:00 | XRP Up or Down - October 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 04:59 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0521739121 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 04:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $2.58 |
| 10-15 04:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $2.77 |
| 10-15 04:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 04:56 | XRP Up or Down - October 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $7.46 |
| 10-15 04:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 04:53 | Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 04:52 | Brisbane Bullets vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix | BUY | 0.2768302877 | $2.00 |