0x78c5970ef661958197ffe224e0f1f41a408791ac
- Realised P&L
- $6.03
- Volume
- $65.93
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $19.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.991 | $6.07 | +$3.07 |
| Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.680 | 0.675 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.680 | 0.995 | $2.93 | +$0.93 |
| AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.600 | 1.000 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.565 | $1.49 | −$0.01 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.545 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.530 | 0.520 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.405 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will AIK win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.195 | $0.71 | −$0.79 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.99at 0.344CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
- +$1.29at 0.447CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.23at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$0.85at 0.548Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?
- +$0.38at 0.727Will FC Sion win on 2026-09-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:41 | Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:41 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:41 | FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.15 |
| 09-16 15:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $2.37 |
| 09-16 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:49 | AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:48 | AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:48 | Will AIK win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 14:48 | CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:47 | CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:47 | Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:47 | Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.50 |