PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78c5970ef661958197ffe224e0f1f41a408791ac

Realised P&L
$6.03
Volume
$65.93
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$19.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4900.991$6.07+$3.07
Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5 · Under0.6800.675$2.98$0.02
FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6800.995$2.93+$0.93
AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6001.000$1.67+$0.67
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5700.565$1.49$0.01
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.5900.585$0.99$0.01
CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5500.545$0.99$0.01
CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score · No0.5300.520$0.98$0.02
AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5400.405$0.75$0.25
Will AIK win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4100.195$0.71$0.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:41Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5BUY0.68$2.00
09-16 15:41Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-16 15:41FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-16 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSELL0.05$0.15
09-16 15:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-16 15:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
09-16 15:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.64$2.37
09-16 15:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-16 14:49AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.59999988$1.00
09-16 14:48AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-16 14:48Will AIK win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4099999535$1.50
09-16 14:48CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-16 14:47CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-16 14:47Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-16 14:47Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5699999886$1.50