PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Urwelcom

0x78bcf277edcf25c122622c18415f017088a72585

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$2.06M
Markets traded
669
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded669
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5850.614$3.1k+$142.50
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6200.665$897.75+$60.75
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.3220.067$160.69−$617.71
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.1500.001$0.54−$160.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.4300.001$0.36−$312.09
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) · Shnaider0.4000.000$0.00−$400.00
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Brandt Snedeker win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Ricky Castillo win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Andrew Putnam win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 22:15Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.43$27.99
09-30 13:35Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1?SELL0.53$159.00
09-30 11:49Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.5281771098$700.00
09-17 15:48Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.56$672.00
09-17 15:48Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.5$527.50
07-19 22:33Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998957346$1.1k
06-26 07:50President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.91$14.56
06-14 22:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.15$300.00
06-12 20:38Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?SELL0.3$227.27
06-12 20:08Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.3299999994$250.00
06-12 13:58US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?SELL0.07$70.00
06-12 09:26Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageBUY0.21$52.50
06-12 08:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.28$4.76
06-09 07:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.17$510.00
05-20 11:29Iran closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.73$730.00