Urwelcom
0x78bcf277edcf25c122622c18415f017088a72585
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $2.05M
- Markets traded
- 657
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded657
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.059Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
- +$4.8kat 0.034Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
- +$4.0kat 0.029Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
- +$2.9kat 0.023Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$2.3kat 0.420US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:33 | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998957346 | $1.1k |
| 06-26 07:50 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.91 | $14.56 |
| 06-14 22:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 06-12 20:38 | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3 | $227.27 |
| 06-12 20:08 | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999994 | $250.00 |
| 06-12 13:58 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | SELL | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 06-12 09:26 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage | BUY | 0.21 | $52.50 |
| 06-12 08:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.76 |
| 06-09 07:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $510.00 |
| 05-20 11:29 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.73 | $730.00 |
| 05-19 16:13 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 05-17 21:50 | Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship? | SELL | 0.0084266543 | $8.43 |
| 05-17 21:49 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? | SELL | 0.1001480115 | $100.15 |
| 05-17 21:35 | Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 05-17 21:31 | Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship? | SELL | 0.0064290243 | $6.43 |