Lido19
0x78ba205d67a1614133e59d0f9852213c77dd0a6b
- Realised P&L
- $-54.87
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $21.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.075 | $7.08 | −$7.92 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.049 | $4.62 | −$0.38 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No | 0.037 | 0.015 | $4.05 | −$5.95 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $3.05 | −$1.95 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.050 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.69at 0.069Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$6.29at 0.036Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
- +$2.93at 0.636Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$-0.20at 0.081Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.79at 0.074Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $12.00 |
| 09-10 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 00:14 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0369999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 00:10 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.1589403974 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 00:10 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0901095732 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 00:09 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.0529783277 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 00:08 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | SELL | 0.0372963671 | $2.15 |
| 07-08 20:32 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.0783854465 | $4.51 |
| 06-14 16:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.078 | $2.86 |
| 06-14 16:10 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.09 |
| 06-14 16:08 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.085 | $1.89 |
| 06-14 16:08 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.175 | $3.19 |
| 06-14 15:28 | Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | SELL | 0.0677173601 | $2.83 |
| 06-14 15:26 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.138 | $2.94 |