PolyBot

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Traders

Lido19

0x78ba205d67a1614133e59d0f9852213c77dd0a6b

Realised P&L
$-54.87
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$21.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? · Yes0.1590.075$7.08$7.92
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0530.049$4.62$0.38
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0370.015$4.05$5.95
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$3.05$1.95
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.1000.050$2.50$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00$12.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · No0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No0.0410.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 00:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.8$12.00
09-10 00:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-10 00:14Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0369999999$10.00
09-10 00:10Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?BUY0.1589403974$15.00
09-10 00:10Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0901095732$5.00
09-10 00:09Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.0529783277$5.00
09-10 00:08Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1$5.00
07-11 22:51Israel closes its airspace by July 15?SELL0.0372963671$2.15
07-08 20:32Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.0783854465$4.51
06-14 16:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.078$2.86
06-14 16:10Iran leadership change by June 30?SELL0.035$1.09
06-14 16:08Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.085$1.89
06-14 16:08Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?SELL0.175$3.19
06-14 15:28Israel closes its airspace by June 14?SELL0.0677173601$2.83
06-14 15:26Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.138$2.94