PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Len9311238

0x78b9ac44a6d7d7a076c14e0ad518b301b63c6b76

Realised P&L
$8.71M
Volume
$16.40M
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar53.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-06 03:34Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.75$11.3k
11-04 17:53Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.572$22.9k
11-01 22:11Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? BUY0.33$2.7k
11-01 22:11Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? BUY0.32$876.22
11-01 22:10Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.595$8.8k
11-01 22:10Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.33$130.3k
11-01 22:09Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.33$17.0k
11-01 22:09Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.3289159267$3.4k
11-01 22:08Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.594$16.1k
11-01 22:07Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.593$4.5k
11-01 22:07Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.5948104365$9.0k
11-01 22:07Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.595$152.02
11-01 22:06Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.597$2.4k
11-01 22:06Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.597$18.2k
11-01 22:06Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.596$10.3k