PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cayman718

0x78b6c57265fc3cdf45905dfc0857b5799bc230c7

Realised P&L
$-528.45
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$1.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-24.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.430$1.17−$0.16
KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Team to Advance · FK LNZ Cherkasy0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to Advance · FK Dynamo Kyiv0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$3.27
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$1.06
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.50
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$15.95
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5850.000$0.00−$427.92
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.88
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$2.97
FC København vs. FK Polissia: Team to Advance · FK Polissia0.2400.000$0.00−$2.40
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$8.44
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:34Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?BUY0.4899999484$1.33
07-28 15:20KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Team to AdvanceBUY0.23$1.15
05-28 12:05Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.013$0.07
05-23 18:31Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY0.3899999503$4.00
04-30 10:13Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?BUY0.27$2.50
04-30 10:11Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?BUY0.25$5.00
01-19 10:15Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.56$50.40
01-19 10:12Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.56$36.40
01-18 23:11Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.042$1.05
01-18 23:08US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.09$1.08
01-13 18:14US strike on Mexico by January 31?BUY0.0879999226$1.00
01-13 18:11US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
01-13 10:37Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?BUY0.49$2.45
01-13 10:37Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?BUY0.55$2.75
01-07 15:15Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?BUY0.52$4.16