collinsjessica
0x78b5e550d811aed1d1e81657a3a56d5763f72550
- Realised P&L
- $-4.79
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $6.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.90 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.55 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.24 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 27? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.18 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.06 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.38at 0.610Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$0.02at 0.988Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 20?
- +$0.01at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.89 |
| 07-02 13:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.24 |
| 06-26 22:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.06 |
| 06-26 17:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.18 |
| 05-16 21:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.55 |
| 04-23 19:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9989995616 | $1.39 |
| 03-02 09:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.16 |
| 02-23 05:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9879995918 | $1.82 |
| 02-20 05:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.02 |
| 02-12 09:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.58 |
| 02-10 10:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10? | BUY | 0.9939999985 | $1.30 |
| 02-03 18:55 | Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $999.29 |
| 02-03 18:28 | Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 02-03 18:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.98 | $999.30 |
| 02-03 18:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9809999996 | $1.0k |