topturo
0x78b2041c6efcdcace9c828f6bb44bbe57aa026ab
- Realised P&L
- $-105.03
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $129.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.00at 0.210Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?
- +$93.48at 0.158Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?
- +$79.12at 0.669Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
- +$77.14at 0.140Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?
- +$64.68at 0.130Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 13:26 | UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 13:25 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.5790190327 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 13:24 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 13:24 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $75.00 |
| 09-16 06:43 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.0832346836 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 22:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-15 22:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:07 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 22:07 | Will Trump say "Egg" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 22:06 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 22:05 | UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 22:04 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce | BUY | 0.253731335 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 22:04 | Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 19:00 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 19:00 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |