0x78b1069b5ee197c32878322c9c4b71b31a64b899
0x78b1069b5ee197c32878322c9c4b71b31a64b899
- Realised P&L
- $-3.52
- Volume
- $288.92
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.815 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.311 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · No | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.66at 0.359Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.392Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3039999708 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:26 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:22 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:21 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:07 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 22:55 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 02:45 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:12 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7329998666 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:07 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 23:58 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September? | BUY | 0.2319999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7909999842 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |