vonPommern
0x78ae9adc4b9669f290524a09006f41a686fa143a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $561.7k
- Markets traded
- 403
- Open portfolio
- $664.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded403
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.320Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?
- +$1.0kat 0.080Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$931.92at 0.365Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$888.65at 0.628Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$859.37at 0.398Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 18:57 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.39 | $120.68 |
| 09-07 23:04 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 09-07 21:59 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.94 |
| 09-06 22:02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $71.28 |
| 09-06 21:17 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.72 |
| 09-05 16:42 | Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9378098679 | $98.65 |
| 09-05 09:58 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $28.62 |
| 09-04 22:56 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.952 | $199.92 |
| 09-04 22:49 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.952 | $199.92 |
| 09-04 20:23 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 19:18 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-04 19:10 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-04 11:06 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-03 21:28 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $11.25 |
| 09-03 21:27 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $9.83 |