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Traders

vonPommern

0x78ae9adc4b9669f290524a09006f41a686fa143a

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$561.7k
Markets traded
403
Open portfolio
$664.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded403
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.3380.420$252.00+$49.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.026$116.04−$560.21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.4380.595$71.94+$18.95
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.665$66.50+$18.50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5320.415$62.33−$17.55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2890.345$51.72+$8.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2600.145$43.50−$34.50
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$6.38
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.5250.000$0.00−$57.06
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$80.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? · No0.3820.000$0.00−$194.68
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$362.98
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$94.64
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 18:57Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.39$120.68
09-07 23:04Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.44$44.00
09-07 21:59Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$0.94
09-06 22:02Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$71.28
09-06 21:17Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$36.72
09-05 16:42Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.9378098679$98.65
09-05 09:58Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.954$28.62
09-04 22:56Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.952$199.92
09-04 22:49Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.952$199.92
09-04 20:23Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
09-04 19:18Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.47$47.00
09-04 19:10Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.43$8.60
09-04 11:06Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$30.00
09-03 21:28Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$11.25
09-03 21:27Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.983$9.83
Trader vonPommern · PolyBot Pro