PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wfernandez

0x78aac3bf27489cae04c8af2d376a710af99ced06

Realised P&L
$-95.53
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$58.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · Yes0.9200.967$22.78+$1.10
Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? · Yes0.6200.560$18.12−$1.94
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? · Yes0.9300.955$18.03+$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:30Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.999$6.33
01-30 16:51Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?BUY0.999$7.41
01-30 16:49Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?BUY0.998$12.18
01-30 13:03Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?BUY0.999$36.69
01-30 12:36Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?BUY0.998$17.55
12-30 11:30Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.999$16.68
12-29 23:25Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$19.23
12-29 22:58Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?BUY0.999$30.69
12-29 19:14Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$12.82
10-30 22:01Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.9969999999$23.91
10-30 21:12Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$26.19
10-30 18:43Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.9889999996$22.40
09-29 18:28Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.99$11.30
09-29 04:25Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?BUY0.9979999752$17.11
09-29 02:24Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?BUY0.999$12.56