PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78A1BD10D2836e8Ab54f63Ca170081C208d1b93d-1764402788508

0x78a1bd10d2836e8ab54f63ca170081c208d1b93d

Realised P&L
$52.36
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$14.89

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear? · No0.8800.485$4.85−$3.95
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.7900.795$3.98+$0.03
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by lava? · Yes0.8000.910$2.84+$0.34
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombie? · Yes0.9001.000$1.11+$0.11
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a creeper? · Yes0.9201.000$1.09+$0.09
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a piglin? · Yes0.6500.665$1.02+$0.02
Mike Conley: Assists O/U 0.5 · Yes0.9300.000$0.00−$13.02
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5 · Under0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Magic vs. Warriors · Magic0.1370.000$0.00−$4.10
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$30.00
Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$15.40
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights · Army Black Knights0.1700.000$0.00−$3.40
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$4.98
Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5 · Under0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 11:42Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombie?BUY0.9$1.00
10-05 11:42Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a creeper?BUY0.92$1.00
10-05 11:41Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a piglin?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-05 11:34Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by lava?BUY0.8$2.50
10-05 11:21Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear?BUY0.88$8.80
10-05 10:36Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.79$3.95
10-04 11:01Isaiah Likely: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSELL0.03$0.06
10-04 10:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-03 19:38Davante Adams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5BUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-15 12:04Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsBUY0.9469999937$1.96
07-15 12:02Bukayo Saka: 1+ shotsBUY0.7099999886$2.50
05-08 18:27Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5BUY0.64$3.20
05-08 18:08Mike Conley: Assists O/U 0.5BUY0.93$13.02
05-07 18:59Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?BUY0.77$15.40