0x78914B64d8A02915D77281F91E884360b7f9385d-1730505864226
0x78914b64d8a02915d77281f91e884360b7f9385d
- Realised P&L
- $-836.65
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $18.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.33at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 26?
- +$129.11at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$104.32at 0.355Will the next Pacific hurricane form between August 13 and August 16, 2026?
- +$97.34at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$51.24at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.28 |
| 09-14 23:35 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | SELL | 0.101 | $27.27 |
| 09-14 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.27 |
| 09-14 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $61.94 |
| 08-31 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.0246583613 | $1.03 |
| 08-27 22:43 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.18 |
| 08-27 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.75 |
| 08-27 07:17 | Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between August 27 and August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0215882353 | $1.10 |
| 08-26 17:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $12.10 |
| 08-26 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.0033070341 | $1.91 |
| 08-26 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.0225938319 | $8.71 |
| 08-26 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.57 |
| 08-26 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.3659521436 | $11.01 |
| 08-26 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |