PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x78914B64d8A02915D77281F91E884360b7f9385d-1730505864226

0x78914b64d8a02915d77281f91e884360b7f9385d

Realised P&L
$-836.65
Volume
$23.0k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$18.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.1400.120$18.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.4730.000$0.00$3.41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 26? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$29.39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up0.4950.000$0.00$4.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$6.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$16.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Down0.4260.000$0.00$2.10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 26? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$29.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.3040.000$0.00$8.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.3450.000$0.00$22.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.3310.000$0.00$5.11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on August 26? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$30.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.4080.000$0.00$6.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:26Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 15?SELL0.002$0.28
09-14 23:35Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?SELL0.101$27.27
09-14 15:14Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 14?BUY0.03$1.27
09-14 14:57Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 14?SELL0.999$61.94
08-31 11:15Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 31?BUY0.0246583613$1.03
08-27 22:43Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.07$1.18
08-27 07:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 27?BUY0.08$1.75
08-27 07:17Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between August 27 and August 31, 2026?SELL0.0215882353$1.10
08-26 17:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSELL0.69$12.10
08-26 17:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.5699999966$10.00
08-26 14:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 26?SELL0.0033070341$1.91
08-26 14:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 26?SELL0.0225938319$8.71
08-26 14:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 26?SELL0.04$4.57
08-26 12:17Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 26?BUY0.3659521436$11.01
08-26 11:38Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 26?SELL0.001$0.09