0x788FF40d93985554DFFBC962013FAC6d8Aa4971B-1769881901387
0x788ff40d93985554dffbc962013fac6d8aa4971b
- Realised P&L
- $-17.79
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $176.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.360 | $103.23 | +$73.23 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.013 | $64.40 | +$14.40 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.075 | $8.70 | −$21.30 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.53at 0.210Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 06:14 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | SELL | 0.9015912003 | $85.86 |
| 04-02 12:35 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 03-30 19:36 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 03-30 19:29 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1047619018 | $30.00 |
| 03-30 19:29 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.2585435325 | $30.00 |
| 03-30 19:17 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0097049637 | $50.00 |
| 03-30 19:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |