0x7885f99d81be03722cd8ea8c4d59c07be7e17283
0x7885f99d81be03722cd8ea8c4d59c07be7e17283
- Realised P&L
- $-74.24
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.050 | $6.08 | −$16.76 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.76at 0.310S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 14:47 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1859297281 | $22.84 |
| 04-05 01:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BUY | 0.309999979 | $7.08 |
| 04-05 00:59 | Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 04-05 00:59 | Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0244522692 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 00:59 | Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0429999921 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 00:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.012 | $22.30 |
| 04-05 00:53 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.019 | $50.00 |