PolyBot

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Traders

0x786b3b4e6991ac94b04023778b6dacfe17a49519

0x786b3b4e6991ac94b04023778b6dacfe17a49519

Realised P&L
$-472.52
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$576.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7540.910$362.06+$62.06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.755$111.03+$11.03
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.1700.175$102.94+$2.94
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00−$200.00
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 10:07Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
10-23 17:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.8895552171$100.00
10-19 13:30Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
10-10 13:54Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.7399999953$100.00
09-29 13:53Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.783730158$100.00
09-26 13:17Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.1699999997$100.00
09-24 13:43Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.2313241864$100.00
09-24 03:31Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.4$100.00
09-24 03:30Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.284158274$100.00
09-24 03:30Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.4$100.00
09-16 10:14Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.96$100.00
09-16 10:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.8790020633$99.54
09-09 18:02Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.869164732$100.00
09-09 17:59Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.8399999933$100.00
09-01 11:48Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.949$249.73