0x786b09a8053981e7be75afd65773569b865635ab
0x786b09a8053981e7be75afd65773569b865635ab
- Realised P&L
- $-36.62
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $60.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.997 | $39.79 | +$4.25 |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.564 | 0.165 | $20.47 | −$49.53 |
| Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.20at 0.449Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?
- +$113.22at 0.417Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?
- +$112.19at 0.054Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?
- +$96.43at 0.648Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18?
- +$88.26at 0.543Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:22 | Will Toronto FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.03 |
| 11-01 22:22 | Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8899999977 | $35.54 |
| 11-01 22:17 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 21:52 | Will Toronto FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 16:36 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 15:08 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8299999991 | $84.81 |
| 11-01 14:13 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 13:57 | Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:45 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 21:46 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.52 |
| 10-31 20:09 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.7299999943 | $31.94 |
| 10-31 19:38 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 16:58 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 15:01 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.00 |