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Traders

crying-duck

0x786a0607d5db2dbc37d0571fe6b3ac7b1a6094a7

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$2.32M
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$134.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0830.075$52.21$5.58
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0220.013$46.78$35.37
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0240.011$33.82$36.30
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.006$0.60$0.81
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.011$0.47$0.16
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.002$0.20$1.21
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.002$0.13$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 05:05Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.13$1.09
05-12 05:12Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.045$0.55
05-07 06:10Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.009$0.30
05-07 06:08Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.024$7.13
04-26 16:31Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.029$1.16
04-21 05:16Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.071$0.83
04-17 05:13Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.071$0.14
04-13 06:06Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.051$0.24
04-12 08:40Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.031$0.73
04-12 07:58Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.047$0.26
04-11 07:26Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.042$0.78
04-07 06:00Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.041$0.02
04-07 05:57Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.048$4.40
04-06 06:17Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.041$0.27
04-05 12:44Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.022$2.64
Trader crying-duck · PolyBot Pro