0x8944A1b788D68a976320fC860482AC16f1FA47Af-1762002457144
0x785b96226282daaa2c09326d1a72c24d12845c65
- Realised P&L
- $2.59
- Volume
- $523.00
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $88.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.82at 0.480Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?
- +$8.22at 0.310US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
- +$5.83at 0.349Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?
- +$3.34at 0.913Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?
- +$1.83at 0.770Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:53 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $8.97 |
| 10-11 05:53 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | SELL | 0.997 | $39.88 |
| 10-10 19:48 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 10-10 19:48 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-10 17:34 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.429 | $9.87 |
| 10-10 16:12 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.738 | $14.76 |
| 10-10 16:10 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.6035714286 | $16.90 |
| 10-10 16:09 | Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? | SELL | 0.346436 | $8.66 |
| 10-10 16:09 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-10 12:31 | Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $11.47 |
| 10-10 12:30 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.10 |
| 10-10 06:56 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | BUY | 0.3646970409 | $7.76 |
| 10-10 05:02 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $8.68 |
| 10-10 02:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-09 19:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.84 |