PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78540db74c4f544330db708ccbc13a1fcb6e279d

0x78540db74c4f544330db708ccbc13a1fcb6e279d

Realised P&L
$-0.26
Volume
$152.41
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$5.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6900.845$1.22+$0.22
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B? · No0.7200.875$1.22+$0.22
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.3100.340$1.10+$0.10
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes0.7200.730$1.01+$0.01
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.5300.385$0.73−$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 23:02Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-11 14:28Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?BUY0.78$1.00
10-11 03:49Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-10 19:33Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-08 07:46Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-07 23:38Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-05 00:30Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-03 05:05Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-02 14:49Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-02 05:44Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-01 10:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-28 13:15S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-28 05:10Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-27 21:09Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-27 01:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.75$1.00