LeroysAndDings
0x784aa99232ed0e1ff93588b794158bf0879e06c3
- Realised P&L
- $-24.6k
- Volume
- $1.63M
- Markets traded
- 5,318
- Open portfolio
- $319.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,318
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.555 | 0.992 | $67.67 | +$29.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.538 | 0.935 | $65.10 | +$27.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.635 | $64.06 | −$10.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.651 | 0.996 | $57.36 | +$19.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.859 | 0.895 | $36.48 | +$1.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.985 | $28.98 | +$9.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$942.52at 0.553Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?
- +$909.28at 0.680Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$890.38at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$857.26at 0.659US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$812.61at 0.463Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.9899253082 | $175.08 |
| 09-17 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8587341373 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.709428561 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9126984115 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-17 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8899999993 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8880273944 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9055070539 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.781006963 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6466009517 | $19.02 |
| 09-17 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5385638269 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.65116225 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $123.35 |
| 09-17 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.39 |