LuckyDrake
0x7849f6e46c10ee9c2708afad20805ea65d1ada97
- Realised P&L
- $-190.83
- Volume
- $463.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,732
- Open portfolio
- $30.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,732
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$429.02at 0.587Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$415.66at 0.006Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$342.90at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$236.18at 0.840Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$228.06at 0.359Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:12 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 10:08 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 10:06 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.464 | $9.28 |
| 09-28 09:59 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4812780666 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:55 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 14:19 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-25 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999974 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 09:02 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.0117609768 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 08:14 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0784869967 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 21:59 | Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $7.00 |
| 09-24 21:40 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.25 |
| 09-24 21:40 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.735 | $8.54 |
| 09-24 13:50 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 13:48 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |