PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LuckyDrake

0x7849f6e46c10ee9c2708afad20805ea65d1ada97

Realised P&L
$-190.83
Volume
$463.0k
Markets traded
1,732
Open portfolio
$30.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,732
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.4810.450$9.35−$0.65
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.4640.397$7.94−$1.34
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.3500.340$6.80−$0.20
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.4700.445$4.73−$0.27
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.1600.150$1.88−$0.13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$3.80
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yes0.3010.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4220.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:12Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-28 10:08Will White House post 200+ posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.35$7.00
09-28 10:06Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.464$9.28
09-28 09:59Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.4812780666$10.00
09-28 09:55Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.16$2.00
09-25 14:19Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.87$8.70
09-25 12:26Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.0649999974$1.00
09-25 09:02Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.0117609768$1.00
09-25 08:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.04$2.00
09-25 08:14Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.0784869967$2.00
09-24 21:59Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.3899999989$7.00
09-24 21:40Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.045$0.25
09-24 21:40Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.735$8.54
09-24 13:50Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-24 13:48Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.17$1.02