Vodka-
0x7842b9934ea3ed4c829b6d4287f0d0da91c34d91
- Realised P&L
- $15.0k
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Markets traded
- 1,516
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,516
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$827.29at 0.084Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$810.79at 0.650Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$738.95at 0.365Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$529.38at 0.684Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
- +$507.38at 0.302Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:00 | Will Arch Manning rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $32.76 |
| 09-16 04:53 | Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $51.18 |
| 09-16 03:33 | Will Crystal Palace qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-16 03:31 | Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-16 03:31 | Will Lorient qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.525 | $42.00 |
| 09-16 03:28 | Will Racing Santander qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.525 | $42.00 |
| 09-16 03:27 | Will Ipswich Town qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-15 23:50 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.5802543332 | $912.59 |
| 09-15 23:25 | Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.54 | $649.09 |
| 09-15 21:23 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.9415282764 | $188.30 |
| 09-15 19:11 | Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.6411965301 | $85.74 |
| 09-15 18:04 | Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Dan Added | BUY | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 09-15 16:26 | Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.72 | $82.08 |
| 09-15 16:25 | Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 09-15 12:14 | Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |