Vodka-
0x7842b9934ea3ed4c829b6d4287f0d0da91c34d91
- Realised P&L
- $13.7k
- Volume
- $1.46M
- Markets traded
- 1,390
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,390
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$827.29at 0.084Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$810.79at 0.650Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$738.95at 0.365Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$529.38at 0.684Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
- +$507.37at 0.302Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:21 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.08 | $38.67 |
| 08-03 03:16 | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.7 | $554.57 |
| 08-03 01:09 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.5968736506 | $873.56 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad? | BUY | 0.181 | $99.77 |
| 08-02 06:08 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.8064550562 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 18:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $111.00 |
| 08-01 05:13 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $54.00 |
| 07-30 21:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.277 | $22.00 |
| 07-30 21:51 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.286 | $13.77 |
| 07-30 21:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.755 | $690.61 |
| 07-29 01:33 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.287 | $412.57 |
| 07-28 05:57 | Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.16 |
| 07-28 03:17 | Will Raffaele Palladino be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 07-28 02:27 | Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.021 | $4.26 |
| 07-28 02:09 | Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.30 |