PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nergdnal

0x7841ba180d9904aee5a6de580ebe591f94377db6

Realised P&L
$-251.00
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$244.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.0940.055$116.63$83.37
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0530.048$110.26$12.89
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.962$9.62+$1.31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3400.167$5.00$5.21
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0220.004$2.23$8.76
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.3700.055$0.55$3.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:38Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0943149762$200.00
09-16 17:36Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.999$216.67
09-11 22:07Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.8759999966$190.00
09-11 22:05Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.991$187.95
08-29 23:17Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.4$60.00
08-29 23:03Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?BUY0.17$51.00
08-29 23:03Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?BUY0.09$84.25
08-29 23:01Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?BUY0.048$38.88
08-29 22:57Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.99$238.98
08-29 22:46Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.057$57.00
08-29 22:27Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0500698056$66.15
08-29 22:23Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.99$149.93
06-18 22:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.6799999983$94.00
05-18 12:37Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.91$5.00
05-05 09:44Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.023$4.60