houzii
0x78406555d872ce68f2a518c2e30d1c7b00547083
- Realised P&L
- $-139.95
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.210 | $3.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats · Sam Houston Bearkats | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$134.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.910Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$0.04at 0.964August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?
- +$0.01at 0.970Trump sentenced to no prison time?
- +$-0.00at 0.861Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
- +$-0.00at 0.995Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 08:10 | Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2032323162 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 14:31 | UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats | BUY | 0.4499999993 | $134.00 |
| 10-15 14:30 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9099998835 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 08:27 | Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend? | BUY | 0.649999948 | $1.25 |
| 09-10 15:48 | Trump sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.9699978175 | $0.40 |
| 09-10 15:30 | Will Trump say "Epstein" at debate? | SELL | 0.95 | $19.93 |
| 09-10 15:29 | Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.5k |
| 09-10 15:29 | Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.99 |
| 09-10 15:17 | Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.5k |
| 09-10 15:17 | Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 15:17 | Will Trump say "Epstein" at debate? | BUY | 0.952999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 15:01 | August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.33 |
| 09-10 15:00 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or? | SELL | 0.955 | $5.97 |
| 09-10 15:00 | Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.99 |
| 09-10 15:00 | Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.5k |