0x783ab5df41252aa529b8d3231d90ddcc0809a17e
0x783ab5df41252aa529b8d3231d90ddcc0809a17e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.67
- Volume
- $75.51
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $5.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.957 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.986 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.925 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.190 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.500Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:35 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:38 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:47 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:46 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 19:39 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:56 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:34 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:16 | Will Chewy say "Headwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:45 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:57 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 08:46 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:16 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |