PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

23derfrf

0x783069e293a51f41c5741b8ab3ac102836b825c5

Realised P&L
$-146.36
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$3.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes0.9000.997$1.22+$0.12
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? · Yes0.7500.895$1.19+$0.19
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? · No0.6400.740$1.16+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 13:39Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?BUY0.64$1.00
03-24 09:27Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.987$69.44
03-23 13:25Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9949999969$70.00
03-08 07:40Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.993$130.64
03-08 07:40Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.997$110.11
03-08 07:40Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.991$99.89
03-07 12:18Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.994$130.00
03-07 12:18Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.992$128.96
03-07 12:17Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.994$130.00
03-07 12:16Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$110.00
03-07 12:16Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.997$109.67
03-07 12:16Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$110.00
03-07 12:14Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.992$100.00
01-29 05:39Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?BUY0.97$1.00
12-22 06:53Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?BUY0.75$1.00