0x782b81ac5344564f282d30789e4ad611ac59a8ad
0x782b81ac5344564f282d30789e4ad611ac59a8ad
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $256.8k
- Markets traded
- 618
- Open portfolio
- $16.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded618
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Raul Rosas Jr. | 0.650 | 0.640 | $9.85 | −$0.15 |
| UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Deiveson Figueiredo | 0.170 | 0.165 | $6.79 | −$0.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET · Up | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.45at 0.194US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$280.44at 0.085Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
- +$249.85at 0.784Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25?
- +$245.46at 0.209LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$221.92at 0.275Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.16375 | $7.86 |
| 09-21 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999972 | $8.91 |
| 09-21 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999974 | $6.05 |
| 09-21 20:53 | Tolentino: Laura Samson vs Noemi Basiletti | SELL | 0.1179870667 | $8.85 |
| 09-21 20:47 | Tolentino: Laura Samson vs Noemi Basiletti | BUY | 0.08 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 20:13 | UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 11:05 | Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.0759999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:05 | Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.0759999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:04 | Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.0759999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 10:20 | Set 2 Winner: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 10:18 | Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette | SELL | 0.36 | $52.38 |
| 09-21 09:17 | Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette | BUY | 0.2699999976 | $28.90 |
| 09-21 09:15 | Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:21 | Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetova | SELL | 0.55 | $11.31 |
| 09-21 08:13 | Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetova | BUY | 0.3403250357 | $7.00 |