xt0
0x7828a90327db8e85e49a5fe4e964d2bc21a8e558
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $168.7k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$870.75at 0.826Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$794.52at 0.785US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$433.32at 0.150Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$180.45at 0.722Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$150.00at 0.750Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:38 | XRP Up or Down - August 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-05 22:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-05 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 10:28 | Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 08-03 10:27 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $350.00 |
| 08-03 10:27 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 08-03 10:26 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $634.22 |
| 08-03 10:25 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $940.00 |
| 08-03 10:23 | Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $361.81 |
| 08-03 10:22 | Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.9164423461 | $551.26 |
| 08-03 10:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $829.68 |
| 08-03 10:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $406.16 |
| 08-03 10:19 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $253.74 |
| 08-03 10:18 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $340.00 |