PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EndofBeginning88

0x782861a6417e32620ab14925b5f2e7dc3cae381b

Realised P&L
$-4.89
Volume
$95.09
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$32.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.8800.875$8.29$0.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.8200.925$6.27+$0.71
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle: Independiente del Valle O/U 0.5 · Over0.5201.000$4.99+$2.40
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7770.846$4.89+$0.40
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.6900.650$3.25$0.20
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) · Independiente del Valle0.5100.995$2.66+$1.29
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5260.474$2.37$0.26
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? · MP0.1010.006$0.13$1.82
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by September 30? · No0.6000.005$0.03$2.98
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Broncos0.5200.000$0.00$2.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:30Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)SELL0.89$2.07
09-17 16:52Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)BUY0.51$2.55
09-16 21:06Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.88$8.34
09-15 22:14Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?BUY0.82$5.56
09-14 21:48Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)BUY0.52$2.60
09-13 23:59Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?BUY0.19$0.95
09-12 22:22Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by September 30?BUY0.6$3.00
09-12 11:52Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.777$4.49
09-11 17:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$1.41
09-11 16:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$1.50