EndofBeginning88
0x782861a6417e32620ab14925b5f2e7dc3cae381b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.89
- Volume
- $95.09
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $32.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No | 0.880 | 0.875 | $8.29 | −$0.05 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No | 0.820 | 0.925 | $6.27 | +$0.71 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle: Independiente del Valle O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.520 | 1.000 | $4.99 | +$2.40 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.777 | 0.846 | $4.89 | +$0.40 |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No | 0.690 | 0.650 | $3.25 | −$0.20 |
| Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) · Independiente del Valle | 0.510 | 0.995 | $2.66 | +$1.29 |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.526 | 0.474 | $2.37 | −$0.26 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? · MP | 0.101 | 0.006 | $0.13 | −$1.82 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by September 30? · No | 0.600 | 0.005 | $0.03 | −$2.98 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.700Set Handicap: Shelton (-2.5) vs Tiafoe (+2.5)
- +$-0.09at 0.160Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:30 | Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) | SELL | 0.89 | $2.07 |
| 09-17 16:52 | Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-16 21:06 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.34 |
| 09-15 22:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.82 | $5.56 |
| 09-14 21:48 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-13 23:59 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 09-12 22:22 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by September 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 11:52 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.777 | $4.49 |
| 09-11 17:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.41 |
| 09-11 16:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |