yonismahad
0x782228a99e543052ca5183481a50b04d3b4846c2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $67.0k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $31.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$278.54at 0.390Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$229.40at 0.544Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
- +$208.98at 0.708Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
- +$95.25at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$70.86at 0.623Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:50 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:49 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.086999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 10:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 12:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 12:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.27 | $19.85 |
| 09-17 12:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.27 | $19.85 |
| 09-17 08:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999975 | $34.88 |
| 09-15 16:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 11:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 08:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.42 | $21.39 |
| 09-15 08:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |