yonismahad
0x782228a99e543052ca5183481a50b04d3b4846c2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $85.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$285.44at 0.378Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$237.68at 0.532Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
- +$216.59at 0.697Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
- +$96.91at 0.340France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$73.09at 0.611Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:38 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 16:38 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:38 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:11 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5822272641 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $3.62 |
| 08-02 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0452610085 | $9.78 |
| 08-02 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $14.80 |
| 08-01 17:19 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1389073905 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 17:19 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3243259105 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 17:04 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0304010955 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 15:10 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $10.45 |
| 08-01 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.72 |
| 08-01 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $3.93 |
| 08-01 02:08 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.0478350286 | $10.11 |