showmewhatyougot
0x781e1f14003862e95977dba6476fbbb265c1d133
- Realised P&L
- $-65.36
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $15.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.070 | $15.40 | −$10.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.97at 0.598Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$9.50at 0.240Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
- +$8.64at 0.520Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?
- +$7.71at 0.280Israel military action against Iran before July?
- +$7.60at 0.240Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-16 20:58 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.057 | $3.36 |
| 12-16 20:44 | Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.0338824 | $3.39 |
| 12-16 20:44 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 12-16 20:38 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 05-25 04:10 | Justin Bieber rehab in 2025? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 04:10 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.125373087 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 04:09 | Israel military action against Iran before July? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 05-25 04:09 | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 05-25 04:07 | Will Powell say "Economy" during Princeton Commencement on May 25? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 05-25 04:07 | Will Powell say "Trump" during Princeton Commencement on May 25? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 02-26 16:44 | Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.36 |
| 02-26 16:41 | Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 01-26 19:44 | Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 01-26 19:43 | Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 01-26 19:43 | US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |